The Groundhog Day tradition is that if the groundhog doesn’t see his shadow then spring will come early. That kind of loses it’s significance here in north Florida because we have been having spring weather since the fall weather stopped in December. But we celebrate Groundhog Day just the same.
How accurate is the groundhog in predicting weather? The Canadian Encyclopedia notes that a study of weather data places the beasts’ accuracy north of the border at just under 40%. Note that 33% accuracy can occur by chance.
Punxsutawney Phil will give his prediction in a couple of hours and you’ll know, with reasonable doubt, if you can start planting your gardens. Meanwhile, Weather.com predicts sunshine and 74 degrees here today. Spring has definitely come early, groundhog or not.